Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.099496 0.154936 0.220530 0.301197 0.395465 0.500258 0.623828
2025-12-14 0.027800 0.083384 0.167613 0.287770 0.443170 0.628832 0.860138
2025-12-21 0.010760 0.063879 0.161746 0.314148 0.521491 0.777322 1.103380
2025-12-28 0.002929 0.050467 0.158874 0.340872 0.598325 0.923477 1.344476
2026-01-04 0.000057 0.037151 0.150018 0.354872 0.655478 1.043113 1.551919
2026-01-11 NaN 0.032989 0.156448 0.391128 0.742497 1.200601 1.806161
2026-01-18 NaN 0.027429 0.157463 0.417584 0.815289 1.339613 2.037602
2026-01-25 NaN 0.018437 0.145777 0.420874 0.853969 1.433622 2.212510
2026-02-01 NaN 0.007349 0.117679 0.391033 0.841743 1.458801 2.299385
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001060 0.088559 0.352434 0.812335 1.458252 2.351375
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000004 0.074758 0.340201 0.821059 1.507831 2.466536
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.070392 0.347016 0.859303 1.597743 2.633895
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061147 0.342317 0.880802 1.667622 2.779940
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048432 0.325908 0.882080 1.709165 2.889536
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052814 0.354624 0.959256 1.858232 3.141067
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.057013 0.382956 1.035989 2.006961 3.392557
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.056420 0.397890 1.089943 2.123362 3.601440
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.064157 0.436376 1.184349 2.297728 3.887487
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.068162 0.464410 1.260997 2.446921 4.140403
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063545 0.467891 1.295600 2.536153 4.313950
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.048084 0.436277 1.268227 2.535763 4.367830
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.032219 0.395289 1.221156 2.504937 4.379553
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.025559 0.382273 1.222739 2.543996 4.484197